How are the World Cup 2026 predictions made?

Each match is rated with an Elo model trained on international results, converted to expected goals and a Poisson scoreline grid. Outputs are win/draw/win probabilities, the most likely scorelines and fair decimal odds.

Are the predictions free?

Yes. Every World Cup 2026 prediction on Kickabout is free, in your browser, with no app and no sign-up.

How accurate is the model?

The page shows a live track record: games predicted, correct result calls, accuracy percentage and Brier score, updated after each matchday.

World Cup 2026 Predictions

Win probabilities, most likely scorelines and fair decimal odds for every 2026 World Cup match, built on an Elo and Poisson model and graded against real results. Updated daily through the tournament.

Correct

Predicted

44%

Accuracy

0.66

Brier score

Today's fixtures

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group K

Wed 17 Jun 2026

Portugal

DR Congo

Portugal 56%

D 22%

DR Congo 22%

Most likely scores

1-011.2%1-110.6%2-19.8%2-09.6%0-16.6%

Portugal

1.8

Draw

4.47

DR Congo

4.56

Model leans: Portugal win (56%)

Portugal vs DR Congo

Portugal

–

DR Congo

Predict score to reveal crowd predictions

Your pick

You're one of the first - crowd data builds up as more picks come in.

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group L

Wed 17 Jun 2026

England

Croatia

England 42%

D 25%

Croatia 33%

Most likely scores

1-111.7%1-010.2%0-18.9%2-18.8%1-27.6%

England

2.37

Draw

4.05

Croatia

3.01

Model leans: England win (42%)

England vs Croatia

England

–

Croatia

Predict score to reveal crowd predictions

Your pick

You're one of the first - crowd data builds up as more picks come in.

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group L

Wed 17 Jun 2026

Ghana

Panama

Ghana 28%

D 24%

Panama 48%

Most likely scores

1-111.3%0-110.8%1-29.4%0-28.2%1-07.9%

Ghana

3.59

Draw

4.18

Panama

2.08

Model leans: Panama win (48%)

Ghana vs Panama

Ghana

–

Panama

Predict score to reveal crowd predictions

Your pick

You're one of the first - crowd data builds up as more picks come in.

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group K

Wed 17 Jun 2026

Uzbekistan

Colombia

Uzbekistan 26%

D 23%

Colombia 51%

Most likely scores

1-111.1%0-111.0%1-29.6%0-28.7%1-07.4%

Uzbekistan

3.89

Draw

4.26

Colombia

1.97

Model leans: Colombia win (51%)

Uzbekistan vs Colombia

Uzbekistan

–

Colombia

Predict score to reveal crowd predictions

Your pick

You're one of the first - crowd data builds up as more picks come in.

Tomorrow's fixtures

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group A

Thu 18 Jun 2026

Czech Republic

South Africa

Czech Repu... 44%

D 24%

South Afri... 31%

Most likely scores

1-111.6%1-010.4%2-19.1%0-18.5%2-07.5%

Czech Repu...

2.25

Draw

4.09

South Afri...

3.22

Model leans: Czech Republic win (44%)

Czech Republic vs South Africa

Czech Repu...

–

South Afri...

Predict score to reveal crowd predictions

Your pick

You're one of the first - crowd data builds up as more picks come in.

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group B

Thu 18 Jun 2026

Switzerland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Switzerland 51%

D 23%

Bosnia and... 25%

Most likely scores

1-111.1%1-011.0%2-19.6%2-08.8%0-17.4%

Switzerland

1.95

Draw

4.28

Bosnia and...

3.94

Model leans: Switzerland win (51%)

Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

Switzerland

–

Bosnia and...

Predict score to reveal crowd predictions

Your pick

You're one of the first - crowd data builds up as more picks come in.

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group B

Thu 18 Jun 2026

Canada

Qatar

Canada 58%

D 22%

Qatar 20%

Most likely scores

1-011.3%1-110.3%2-010.0%2-19.9%0-16.2%

Canada

1.73

Draw

4.59

Qatar

4.9

Model leans: Canada win (58%)

Canada vs Qatar

Canada

–

Qatar

Predict score to reveal crowd predictions

Your pick

You're one of the first - crowd data builds up as more picks come in.

Model track record

Date	Match	Score	Result	Model	✔
2026-06-16	Austria vs Jordan	3-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-16	Argentina vs Algeria	3-0	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-16	Iraq vs Norway	1-4	🔴	A	✔
2026-06-16	France vs Senegal	3-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-15	Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay	1-1	🟡	A
2026-06-15	Belgium vs Egypt	1-1	🟡	H
2026-06-15	Spain vs Cape Verde	0-0	🟡	H
2026-06-15	Sweden vs Tunisia	5-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-15	Ivory Coast vs Ecuador	1-0	🟢	A
2026-06-14	Netherlands vs Japan	2-2	🟡	H
2026-06-14	Germany vs Curacao	7-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-14	Australia vs Turkey	2-0	🟢	A
2026-06-13	Brazil vs Morocco	1-1	🟡	H
2026-06-13	Qatar vs Switzerland	1-1	🟡	A
2026-06-13	USA vs Paraguay	4-1	🟢	A
2026-06-12	Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina	1-1	🟡	H
2026-06-12	South Korea vs Czech Republic	2-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-11	Mexico vs South Africa	2-0	🟢	H	✔