How are the World Cup 2026 predictions made?

Each match is rated with an Elo model trained on international results, converted to expected goals and a Poisson scoreline grid. Outputs are win/draw/win probabilities, the most likely scorelines and fair decimal odds.

Are the predictions free?

Yes. Every World Cup 2026 prediction on Kickabout is free, in your browser, with no app and no sign-up.

How accurate is the model?

The page shows a live track record: games predicted, correct result calls, accuracy percentage and Brier score, updated after each matchday.

World Cup 2026 Predictions

Win probabilities, most likely scorelines and fair decimal odds for every 2026 World Cup match, built on an Elo and Poisson model and graded against real results. Updated daily through the tournament.

Correct

Predicted

29%

Accuracy

0.736

Brier score

Today's fixtures

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group I

Tue 16 Jun 2026

France

Senegal

France 49%

D 24%

Senegal 27%

Most likely scores

1-111.3%1-010.8%2-19.5%2-08.4%0-17.8%

France

2.04

Draw

4.2

Senegal

3.68

Model leans: France win (49%)

France vs Senegal

France

–

Senegal

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kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group I

Tue 16 Jun 2026

Iraq

Norway

Iraq 28%

D 24%

Norway 48%

Most likely scores

1-111.3%0-110.8%1-29.4%0-28.2%1-07.9%

Iraq

3.57

Draw

4.17

Norway

2.08

Model leans: Norway win (48%)

Iraq vs Norway

Iraq

–

Norway

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kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group J

Tue 16 Jun 2026

Argentina

Algeria

Argentina 53%

D 23%

Algeria 24%

Most likely scores

1-011.1%1-110.9%2-19.7%2-09.1%0-17.1%

Argentina

1.89

Draw

4.35

Algeria

4.17

Model leans: Argentina win (53%)

Argentina vs Algeria

Argentina

–

Algeria

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kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group J

Tue 16 Jun 2026

Austria

Jordan

Austria 46%

D 24%

Jordan 30%

Most likely scores

1-111.5%1-010.5%2-19.2%0-18.3%2-07.7%

Austria

2.19

Draw

4.11

Jordan

3.32

Model leans: Austria win (46%)

Austria vs Jordan

Austria

–

Jordan

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Tomorrow's fixtures

kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group K

Wed 17 Jun 2026

Portugal

DR Congo

Portugal 56%

D 22%

DR Congo 22%

Most likely scores

1-011.2%1-110.6%2-19.8%2-09.6%0-16.6%

Portugal

1.8

Draw

4.47

DR Congo

4.56

Model leans: Portugal win (56%)

Portugal vs DR Congo

Portugal

–

DR Congo

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kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group L

Wed 17 Jun 2026

England

Croatia

England 42%

D 25%

Croatia 33%

Most likely scores

1-111.7%1-010.2%0-18.9%2-18.8%1-27.6%

England

2.37

Draw

4.05

Croatia

3.01

Model leans: England win (42%)

England vs Croatia

England

–

Croatia

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kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group L

Wed 17 Jun 2026

Ghana

Panama

Ghana 28%

D 24%

Panama 48%

Most likely scores

1-111.3%0-110.8%1-29.4%0-28.2%1-07.9%

Ghana

3.59

Draw

4.18

Panama

2.08

Model leans: Panama win (48%)

Ghana vs Panama

Ghana

–

Panama

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kickabout.gamesWC 2026 - Group K

Wed 17 Jun 2026

Uzbekistan

Colombia

Uzbekistan 26%

D 23%

Colombia 51%

Most likely scores

1-111.1%0-111.0%1-29.6%0-28.7%1-07.4%

Uzbekistan

3.89

Draw

4.26

Colombia

1.97

Model leans: Colombia win (51%)

Uzbekistan vs Colombia

Uzbekistan

–

Colombia

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Model track record

Date	Match	Score	Result	Model	✔
2026-06-15	Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay	1-1	🟡	A
2026-06-15	Belgium vs Egypt	1-1	🟡	H
2026-06-15	Spain vs Cape Verde	0-0	🟡	H
2026-06-15	Sweden vs Tunisia	5-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-15	Ivory Coast vs Ecuador	1-0	🟢	A
2026-06-14	Netherlands vs Japan	2-2	🟡	H
2026-06-14	Germany vs Curacao	7-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-14	Australia vs Turkey	2-0	🟢	A
2026-06-13	Brazil vs Morocco	1-1	🟡	H
2026-06-13	Qatar vs Switzerland	1-1	🟡	A
2026-06-13	USA vs Paraguay	4-1	🟢	A
2026-06-12	Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina	1-1	🟡	H
2026-06-12	South Korea vs Czech Republic	2-1	🟢	H	✔
2026-06-11	Mexico vs South Africa	2-0	🟢	H	✔